Two out of two drops in the postal market in 2011

By the end of 2011, the year has quietly left. When the dawn of the New Year lightens the earth, the trend of the Tibetan callbacks, which are mainly based on postal currency cards, seems to be still unresolved. This performance basically reflects the main theme of the market operation in the past year, that is, the tone of the year was adjusted, and the hot spots changed from the bright flowers at the beginning of the year to the early years of the year. It reflected that the market formed a technical recovery after the 2010 boom. This withdrawal from the interpretation of the entire large market, is a stage of rational adjustment, its characteristics are mainly to moderate changes in the direction of the rapid rise in the previous period. However, unlike the market downturn of previous years, despite the fact that many varieties formed a correction, apart from the new varieties recently released, there are not a lot of popular targets, and few new varieties and sectors have been found.

The performance of two postal markets in the postal market in 2011 can be described as the “hot” extremely “sad”. The so-called “hot” refers to the unusually hot market at the beginning of the year, and “sad” refers to the market in the second half of the year. As a result, most of the hot-spot varieties have fallen into a retreat, and the market hot spots have clearly disappeared. From the perspective of transaction changes, the postal market also affected the market sentiment from the beginning of the year to the end of the year. Therefore, the postal market throughout the year is embodied in the consolidation pattern after the steps, and the formation of the hot plate segment is basically in line with the consolidation pattern that will inevitably emerge after the first phase of the postal bull market (“recovery period”), and this trend has been in the past year. Reflected in the most vivid.

Looking at the direction of the postal market throughout the year, it can be summarized as two ups and downs. The “two ups” are the overall rising wave at the beginning of the year and the recent hotspot rise in the mid-summer period. “Two falls” are the performances of the spring and year-end corrections. , And caused the year's spring market and autumn market to end. However, compared with the prices of most hotspot species, apart from the decline in some of the new postal mails issued in the past five years, basically all of them showed a rising trend, including not only the recent popular varieties issued after 1992 but also the old postal plates. And most of the old postal species hit a record high in the year, reflecting the market bull market pattern has not changed, but is in a modest upward trend. Therefore, although the market has undergone frequent ups and downs, the tone of hovering has remained unchanged. It is just that there has been no upward momentum in the second half of the year as it has been done in the second half of the year. Instead, it is advancing in a two-for-one manner.

The Hot Spot is a popular section of the 2011 postal market, with its hot spots running through the year. From the performance point of view, the Chinese zodiac editions, the New Year editions, the small editions, and the double-doubles have risen one after another in the past year, becoming a hot investment destination for the postal market. In particular, the zodiac version of Zhang Zhong’s third-round zodiac performance is the most prominent.

The hot spot of the market in the whole year was the operation of the Zodiac plate, and the overall market had ups and downs in the Chinese zodiac, which had a great influence on the temperature of the postal market. The "A-Monkey" full-ticket is a typical representative. Although its price rose more than twice in 2010, it was even higher in 2011. The maximum price for this year was 810 yuan, 500% higher than the 135 yuan at the beginning of the year. Even at the end of the year, the price is consolidating at 600 yuan, and the annual net increase is also 3.2 times, which is the leader in the entire zodiac sector. Affected by this, the third round of the Chinese zodiac full-sheet increase nearly doubled, while some varieties rose more than 150%, such as "Baiji Chicken" full-length tickets and "A-Monkey" small version of the price from the beginning of 2011 by 68 yuan And 85 yuan rose to 185 yuan and 215 yuan, respectively, an increase of 172% and 153%.

Relatively speaking, the small prints of the 2003-2004 small-scale performance that have been overwhelming in 2010 have subsided, such as the “lily”, “bronze”, “city building” and “Chinese name pavilion” small plates respectively from the beginning of the year to 305 yuan, 130 Yuan, 110 yuan and 82 yuan fell to 180 yuan, 95 yuan, 78 yuan, and 53 yuan at the end of the year, and investors sought to reduce their popularity. In addition, the small plates issued in recent years have also been pulled back after the Spring Festival of the Year of the Rabbit. For example, “running books” were straightened up to RMB 170 from 105 yuan at the beginning of the year, but prices fell to around 95 yuan at the end of the year. Obvious form.

Of course, there are some early stagflation small version is still out of the head, such as the "Spring Festival" small version of the price rose from 240 yuan to 410 yuan, an increase of 64%, "Fuchun Mountain Map" small ticket contrarian climbed, the annual increase Up to 75%, the “Luoyang World Exhibition” double-double sheetlet increased by nearly 30%. In addition, the "product ticket" performance of Evergreen in the postal market has remained outstanding in recent years. Among them, the "Early Leaders (2)" ticket issued in 2006 has risen rapidly, and prices have risen from 35 yuan to 180 yuan. Very impressive. As for the performance of the old postal block, the overall price of the "Wen" stamp has climbed from 140,000 yuan at the beginning of the year to 220,000 yuan. The JT ticket has also seen a 15% increase. Although the "Qi Baishi" ticket has gone down However, the increase is still up to 1 times.

Judging from the performance of the above varieties, the hot-spot varieties that have risen sharply from 2010 to early 2011 have risen sharply after March 2011, while some of the topics with the previous stagflation have risen to new heights or replenishment. This also constitutes an important reason why the market trend of the year is not warm.

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